The Gray Word

Monday, July 30, 2012

Fantasy Football Now!


Wherever and however you are viewing this today thank you for making this part of your day. Fantasy Football is HERE! And we are talking drafting that needed quarterback number two. I wanted to analyze two guys with similar stats, but with different potential for your fantasy team. And how do you play fantasy football? Just ask coach Herm Edwards “Hello!? You play to win the game.” So let’s roll!




        Flacco vs. Dalton





When it comes to quarterback’s in fantasy football there are a few strategies to when exactly you should draft one.  In any draft when your pick comes up you have to ask three questions. One who is the best player available? Does he fit my draft strategy? Is he better than my targeted player? Be sure that whatever strategy you make stick to it on draft day, but be flexible. Here is the scenario you have decided to follow a draft strategy of taking three running backs in the first four rounds of the draft. Next you would select a wide receiver before a QB unless someone named Brees, Brady, or Rodgers dropped in your lap in round three. Just to be clear the plan is to select running backs in the first and second round.  Let’s fast forward to the 11th round, note with this plan you would draft two quarterbacks and play the best match up, time for  QB2. On the board you see Andy Dalton of the Bengals and Joe Flacco of the Ravens. To most the untrained this would seem easy. Flacco is in the playoffs, he has that great defense, he has a great running back in Ray Rice, and he has a deep threat in Tory Smith. To the trained eye Dalton vs. Flacco warrants a closer comparison. We need to analyze the situation for each player on their respective team.  First cancel out the defenses because the Bengals have also been solid. Next take a look at the running back position, the Bengals have a committee approach which means the offense relies more on Dalton then with Flacco who shares the load with star Ray Rice. When you look to the wide outs ask who is better A.J. Green or Tory Smith. I give the advantage to Green mostly due to his size (6ft 4” Green/6ft 1” Smith) both players have speed, however Smith was prone to dropping the ball last season. Lastly, so no one thinks I forgot, making the playoffs year to year can be bad for fantasy owners. The Bengals historically have to fight their way in which means Dalton plays week 16 and 17. While Flacco may rest for the playoffs leaving the guy who drafted him high in dry during the fantasy playoffs. 

Lastly look at the numbers of the two quarterbacks.  Dalton 3,398 yards, 20TD/13INT, rushing 37ATT/152yrds 1TD, and a 58% completion percentage as a rookie. Flacco 3,610 yards 20TD/12INT, rushing 39ATT/88yrds 1TD, and a 57% completion percentage in his 5th year. My point is this Dalton in year one is as good as Flacco in year five. While Flacco has been consistent over the years in Fantasy it’s about making the best choice to win the championship. In that case you roll with the upside which is more in favor of Andy Dalton.
Others may disagree taking a young QB over a veteran like Flacco, but not me. Dalton will only get better while I see Flacco staying the same year to year. While he won’t kill your team, Flacco isn’t going to win you the week either. I see Dalton as the superior quarterback out of the two and a guy with more potential going in to the 2012 NFL season. Thank you for making this part of your day. If you have questions or comments please feel free to email me at chrisgrayarea@gmail.com and if that isn’t enough you can follow on twitter @IntoTheGray.
-Gray Out!